Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 4.254559 4.921083 5.624731 6.419728 7.289768 8.209910 9.253481
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.370702 4.313035 5.374528 6.645197 8.111288 9.736722 11.661783
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.593526 3.667432 4.954877 6.579456 8.542225 10.805949 13.582358
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.993945 3.117196 4.547995 6.443985 8.830543 11.678073 15.273929
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.583974 2.729425 4.274206 6.413324 9.203360 12.628722 17.059079
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.253728 2.386564 4.003387 6.337962 9.484153 13.446838 18.680910
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.095081 2.264109 4.010612 6.615796 10.214446 14.833454 21.028118
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.906025 2.057111 3.865718 6.658654 10.616893 15.796205 22.849429
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.815735 1.997024 3.927876 6.989066 11.410856 17.278575 25.357865
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.724226 1.916942 3.945974 7.247192 12.104142 18.636104 27.723909
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.619963 1.792078 3.875659 7.360725 12.587863 19.715515 29.738012
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.506528 1.623935 3.712403 7.314128 12.830027 20.463127 31.317354
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.438705 1.541010 3.691550 7.495626 13.421012 21.718300 33.622497
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.371355 1.443028 3.632239 7.608479 13.910393 22.841002 35.768587
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.287242 1.279194 3.430480 7.469941 14.010282 23.414256 37.173830
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.215462 1.120784 3.216230 7.290185 14.032016 23.868361 38.415104
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.167746 1.012058 3.085471 7.241387 14.248745 24.599422 40.044123
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.126523 0.903958 2.939610 7.151931 14.391696 25.219737 41.521781
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113810 0.893440 3.005965 7.450253 15.163767 26.773272 44.330460
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.090276 0.828074 2.938952 7.494976 15.521410 27.717673 46.287274
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.083605 0.832703 3.036044 7.852619 16.400570 29.449832 49.383403
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.074358 0.820919 3.091764 8.131969 17.154755 31.004441 52.242119
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.060817 0.779127 3.068165 8.254732 17.648292 32.172595 54.558522